Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001490 0.001582 0.001675 0.001780 0.001892 0.002010 0.002143
2025-03-02 0.001321 0.001444 0.001577 0.001730 0.001901 0.002089 0.002311
2025-03-09 0.001208 0.001352 0.001510 0.001698 0.001916 0.002163 0.002464
2025-03-16 0.001137 0.001296 0.001476 0.001695 0.001956 0.002259 0.002641
2025-03-23 0.001071 0.001240 0.001434 0.001677 0.001972 0.002324 0.002780
2025-03-30 0.001021 0.001198 0.001406 0.001670 0.001998 0.002399 0.002931
2025-04-06 0.000969 0.001151 0.001367 0.001647 0.002001 0.002442 0.003041
2025-04-13 0.000921 0.001105 0.001328 0.001620 0.001997 0.002474 0.003135
2025-04-20 0.000864 0.001046 0.001269 0.001565 0.001952 0.002450 0.003152
2025-04-27 0.000844 0.001032 0.001266 0.001579 0.001997 0.002544 0.003331
2025-05-04 0.000833 0.001029 0.001275 0.001611 0.002065 0.002670 0.003560
2025-05-11 0.000827 0.001033 0.001293 0.001653 0.002148 0.002821 0.003830
2025-05-18 0.000798 0.001005 0.001272 0.001646 0.002169 0.002892 0.004001
2025-05-25 0.000757 0.000962 0.001227 0.001605 0.002141 0.002893 0.004069
2025-06-01 0.000724 0.000927 0.001194 0.001578 0.002129 0.002917 0.004172
2025-06-08 0.000702 0.000907 0.001179 0.001575 0.002153 0.002992 0.004357
2025-06-15 0.000677 0.000881 0.001155 0.001558 0.002155 0.003035 0.004493
2025-06-22 0.000657 0.000862 0.001139 0.001552 0.002171 0.003099 0.004666
2025-06-29 0.000634 0.000837 0.001114 0.001531 0.002164 0.003126 0.004779
2025-07-06 0.000611 0.000811 0.001087 0.001507 0.002151 0.003142 0.004874
2025-07-13 0.000581 0.000775 0.001044 0.001456 0.002094 0.003087 0.004843
2025-07-20 0.000572 0.000769 0.001044 0.001470 0.002138 0.003194 0.005099
2025-07-27 0.000568 0.000769 0.001053 0.001498 0.002206 0.003344 0.005442